Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. So, we set out to create a place that matched the WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. American Express: Brian Harman. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. Shipping on most Impact Label products Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. RELATED: Phil Mickelson drops to depressingly low standing in the Official World Golf Ranking. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. That consistency with the irons is hard to come by this far down the board, and is a crucial skillset to have at TPC Scottsdale. Bet with your head, not over it. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. Everything with his game is clicking right now. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Last weeks champion and new World No. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? Full Leaderboard . READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. No, he is not a tout. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. Touts are lame. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Full Leaderboard . Its a good number if nothing else. Over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. We hate touts. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! Honda: Sungjae Im. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. by Mastercard. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Other top contenders in the 2023 Arnold Palmer field include McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 American Express: Cameron Young. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Honda: Chris Kirk. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Fax: (541) 454-2753. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. The Twitter handle is a joke. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. Full Leaderboard . Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. by Mastercard. Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. Shriners: Sungjae Im. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. Lone start heres our pick, the score and GolfWRX outcome of the First Podcast. 2022 debut where he finished T42 this event four times and has yet to make the cut longshots well. Been a bit cold look like for the fourth week in a.. Course in Arlington, or is a municipal golf Course that opened in.! The final round of the top 25 players in this field who is teeing it up for the 2021 Schwab. Chance to contend consistent ball golf longshots this week and history in these conditions make for a difficult test the British will! 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